Microchip Technology Stock Performance

MCHP Stock  USD 78.04  0.19  0.24%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Microchip Technology holds a performance score of 16. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.13, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Microchip Technology will likely underperform. Please check Microchip Technology's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Microchip Technology's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Microchip Technology are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively inconsistent technical indicators, Microchip Technology reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.24)
Five Day Return
(0.37)
Year To Date Return
20.01
Ten Year Return
269.68
All Time Return
23.8 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0237
Payout Ratio
0.0249
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.82
Dividend Date
2025-12-09
 
Microchip Technology dividend paid on 9th of December 2025
12/09/2025
1
Acquisition by James Bjornholt of 3027 shares of Microchip Technology subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
2
Microchip, KLA Corp. upgraded at Cantor Fitzgerald
01/06/2026
3
MCHP Rises 29 percent in a Year How Should You Approach the Stock in 2026
01/13/2026
4
Microchip Technology Given New 78.00 Price Target at Bank of America
01/21/2026
5
Microchip Expands maXTouch M1 Touchscreen Controller Series for Broader Display Size Coverage
01/27/2026
6
3 Top-Ranked U.S. Behemoths Witnessing Initial Breakthrough in 2026
01/28/2026
7
Is It Too Late To Consider Microchip Technology After Its Strong 1 Year Share Price Run
01/29/2026
8
Is It Too Late To Reassess Microchip Technology After Its Strong Share Price Run
01/30/2026
9
3 Semiconductor Stocks Set to Surpass Q4 Earnings Estimates
02/02/2026
10
Microchip Technology Q3 2026 Earnings Preview
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow319.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-287.8 M

Microchip Technology Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,491  in Microchip Technology on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,313  from holding Microchip Technology or generate 42.12% return on investment over 90 days. Microchip Technology is currently generating 0.6311% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.0323% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Microchip, and 88% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Microchip Technology is expected to generate 3.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.96 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Microchip Technology Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Microchip Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 78.04 90 days 78.04 
about 8.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Microchip Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.03 (This Microchip Technology probability density function shows the probability of Microchip Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.13 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Microchip Technology will likely underperform. Additionally Microchip Technology has an alpha of 0.3132, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Microchip Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Microchip Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Microchip Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.3078.3281.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.2483.9386.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.7373.7576.77
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
76.1983.7292.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Microchip Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Microchip Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Microchip Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Microchip Technology.

Microchip Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Microchip Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Microchip Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Microchip Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Microchip Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.13
σ
Overall volatility
9.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Microchip Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Microchip Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Microchip Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Microchip Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (500 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.28 B.
Microchip Technology has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Microchip Technology Q3 2026 Earnings Preview

Microchip Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Microchip Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Microchip Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Microchip Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding537.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments771.7 M

Microchip Technology Fundamentals Growth

Microchip Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Microchip Technology, and Microchip Technology fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Microchip Stock performance.

About Microchip Technology Performance

Assessing Microchip Technology's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Microchip Technology's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Microchip Technology is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 219.74  230.73 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 

Things to note about Microchip Technology performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Microchip Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Microchip Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Microchip Technology appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.4 B. Net Loss for the year was (500 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.28 B.
Microchip Technology has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Microchip Technology Q3 2026 Earnings Preview
Evaluating Microchip Technology's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Microchip Technology's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Microchip Technology's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Microchip Technology's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Microchip Technology's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Microchip Technology's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Microchip Technology's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Microchip Technology's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Microchip Technology's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Microchip Technology's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Microchip Technology's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Microchip Stock Analysis

When running Microchip Technology's price analysis, check to measure Microchip Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microchip Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Microchip Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microchip Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microchip Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microchip Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.